Implied probability
Convert decimal odds with 1 ÷ odds, then account for bookmaker margin.
Method, not certainty
Models organize evidence but cannot remove uncertainty, injuries, line-up changes or price movement.
Convert decimal odds with 1 ÷ odds, then account for bookmaker margin.
Odds and inputs change. Record the time and date attached to every forecast.
A forecast is not certainty. Set a fixed entertainment budget before the event.